Collina d'Oro vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
8º
9
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 23.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
FCW
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
YFJ
0 - 0
FCC
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
MEN
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
3 - 0
FCC
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
HON
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 1
STG
14%
19%
66%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UZW
0 - 1
TAV
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 3
FRE
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 1
TAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TAV
0 - 0
WIN
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |