Collina d'Oro vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
3º
67
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
FCC
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 2
BRU
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZUG
1 - 1
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
ASC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 3
MEN
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
3 - 4
ZUG
35%
25%
41%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |