Collina d'Oro vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
7º
3º
67
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
91% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
FCC
28%
21%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 2
BRU
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ZUG
1 - 1
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
MEN
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
2 - 0
ASC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 3
MEN
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MEN
3 - 4
ZUG
35%
25%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |