Collina d'Oro vs Linth 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
16º
10º
15
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 63 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 56 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 55 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 50 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 39 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 30 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 24 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KRE
1 - 0
FCC
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 2
TAV
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ESC
2 - 0
FCC
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 0
FCW
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
YFJ
0 - 0
FCC
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Linth 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
STG
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 2
LIN
40%
22%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRE
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOS
1 - 1
LIN
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 4
WIN
38%
25%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |