Collina d'Oro vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
16º
8º
10
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 63 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 62 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 59 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 36 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 35 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 31 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SVS
0 - 1
FCC
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STG
2 - 0
FCC
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCC
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 3
BEL
7%
13%
80%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
FCC
24%
22%
55%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
STG
13%
18%
70%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 2
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MEN
5 - 4
HON
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
YFJ
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TUG
2 - 0
HON
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |