Collina d'Oro vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
5º
1º
46
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Collina d'Oro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
FCC
34%
22%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
FCC
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GOL
2 - 0
FCC
23%
20%
56%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 0
FCU
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
FCC
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 6
BRU
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 1
BRU
35%
23%
42%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
RSZ
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ZUG
2 - 4
BRU
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |