Coffrane vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
14º
14º
24
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 67 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 55 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 21 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coffrane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEY
3 - 2
FCC
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 4
CSC
21%
21%
59%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
LAC
26%
21%
54%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 3
POR
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
SEC
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
3 - 2
YVE
45%
23%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
NAT
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
0 - 0
SER
35%
24%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
3 - 0
SIO
40%
23%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |