Coffrane vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
9º
16º
16º
12
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
16 | 65 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 57 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 51 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 50 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 48 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 40 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 39 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 28 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 20 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 17 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
77.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coffrane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEY
3 - 2
FCC
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 4
CSC
21%
21%
59%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 0
LAC
26%
21%
54%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 3
POR
37%
23%
41%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
SEC
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
3 - 2
YVE
45%
23%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
NAT
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
0 - 0
SER
35%
24%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 0
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NAT
3 - 0
SIO
40%
23%
37%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |