Coffrane vs Meyrin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
9º
52
2º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coffrane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VEV
2 - 0
FCC
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCC
65%
17%
18%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
FCC
39%
22%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 4
FCC
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 1
SEC
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MEY
0 - 4
WIN
8%
15%
78%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MEY
0 - 1
FCM
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
MEY
21%
19%
60%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MEY
5 - 1
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SEC
2 - 2
MEY
35%
22%
43%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |