Coffrane vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
74.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
14º
14º
37
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 67 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 57 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 55 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 52 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 43 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 26 |
13º
|
47% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 21 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 16 |
15º
|
38% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 14 |
16º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 89% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coffrane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 3
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
4 - 1
FCC
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
STA
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
FCC
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
5 - 3
FCC
69%
17%
13%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
5 - 3
CSC
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 2
YVE
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 3
LAN
21%
22%
58%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 2
SER
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEC
0 - 5
LAN
13%
19%
68%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |