FC Coburg vs SV Donaustauf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
18º
16º
22
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Coburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NEU
4 - 2
FCC
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
TSV
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ATS
2 - 1
FCC
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
REG
2 - 4
FCC
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAY
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SV Donaustauf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 2
SVD
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVD
1 - 1
REG
70%
16%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FEU
0 - 2
SVD
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ELT
2 - 0
SVD
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SVD
0 - 3
NEU
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |