FC Coburg vs Jahn Regensburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
56.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
18º
16º
52
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Coburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 3
FCC
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 8
EIC
15%
18%
67%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ING
1 - 2
FCC
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 1
KOR
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 2
FCC
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
JRE
40%
23%
38%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
JRE
4 - 1
REG
78%
13%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 2
JRE
10%
15%
75%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JRE
1 - 2
AMM
48%
21%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ELT
0 - 1
JRE
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |