Cincinnati vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 2
NYC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 0
QRO
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RBN
3 - 1
CIN
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 3
CHA
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
SAN
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
DCU
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
TIG
34%
27%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
ATS
1 - 0
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUM
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |