Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 2
NYC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CIN
1 - 0
QRO
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
RBN
3 - 1
CIN
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CIN
0 - 1
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
2 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 1
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
3 - 0
NSC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
PHU
5 - 1
NER
41%
24%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |