Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NER
0 - 2
CIN
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CIN
3 - 0
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +3 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SES
4 - 1
CIN
69%
19%
11%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
DCU
1 - 1
CIN
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
3 - 0
COC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
PHU
59%
21%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
KCW
2 - 0
PHU
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PHU
1 - 3
TOR
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
DCU
1 - 2
PHU
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |