Cincinnati vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
1 - 1
TAM
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CIN
4 - 0
LOU
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PHU
2 - 0
CIN
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PIT
0 - 1
CIN
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
CIN
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 1
TAM
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
RIC
0 - 1
LOU
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
ORL
1 - 3
LOU
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
LOU
0 - 0
LOU
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
NYO
1 - 1
LOU
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |