Cincinnati vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CIN
1 - 1
NSC
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 3
ESP
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 1
NYO
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
NYO
2 - 1
PNN
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
PNN
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
OTT
2 - 1
PNN
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
PNN
1 - 2
RIC
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
PNN
3 - 2
PHU
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |