Cincinnati vs Detroit City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
CHA
4 - 1
CIN
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 2
AFC
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
IND
2 - 3
CIN
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OTT
0 - 3
CIN
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 2
PIT
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
AAA
1 - 0
DET
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DET
1 - 1
MIC
10%
14%
75%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DET
3 - 3
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 1
DET
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
MIC
0 - 0
DET
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |