Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
57.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 1
TOR
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
3 - 0
CIN
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 0
CIN
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
NYC
4 - 0
CIN
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
PHU
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Columbus Crew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
COC
1 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
DAL
2 - 2
COC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
TOR
3 - 1
COC
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
COC
2 - 1
MIN
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
COC
2 - 0
NSC
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |