Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
COC
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
CFS
3 - 0
CIN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CIN
0 - 0
DCU
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
CIN
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
CIN
2 - 0
RBN
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
NYC
3 - 1
CFS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
CFS
3 - 0
CIN
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
COC
3 - 0
CFS
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
CFS
0 - 2
VAN
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
CFS
0 - 2
SJE
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |