FK Chita vs Smena Komsomolsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Chita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SIB
1 - 1
FCC
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SIB
2 - 1
FCC
25%
28%
48%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
4 - 0
YAK
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
YAK
0 - 4
FCC
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
SIB
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Smena Komsomolsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
SME
0 - 1
KUK
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SME
0 - 1
MET
30%
28%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
AMU
0 - 0
SME
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SME
0 - 0
AMU
69%
19%
11%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KUK
0 - 1
SME
22%
27%
52%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |