FC Chelyabinsk vs FK Novosibirsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
5º
6º
6º
34
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 9 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 5 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Chelyabinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
MIA
1 - 1
FCC
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
FCC
70%
21%
10%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TYU
2 - 1
FCC
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
5 - 0
ORE
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
FK Novosibirsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCN
1 - 1
PER
18%
26%
57%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IRT
1 - 0
FCN
52%
24%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 0
FCN
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCN
2 - 2
ZEN
62%
21%
16%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MIA
1 - 3
FCN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |