FC Châtel-St-Denis vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.1%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.2%
1-0
0.5%
2-1
0.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.3%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.6%
93.5%
Win probability
4.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
11.8%
1-5
4.8%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
17.5%
0-5
9.6%
1-6
3.2%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0%
-5
13.3%
0-6
6.4%
1-7
1.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
8.6%
0-7
3.7%
1-8
0.9%
2-9
0.1%
-7
4.8%
0-8
1.9%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0%
-8
2.3%
0-9
0.8%
1-10
0.2%
-9
1%
0-10
0.3%
-10
0.3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
THU
1 - 2
FCA
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
YVE
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KRI
1 - 3
THU
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GCZ
2 - 3
THU
37%
24%
39%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
THU
0 - 1
NEX
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |