FC Châtel-St-Denis vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
12º
13º
34
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Châtel-St-Denis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VEY
1 - 4
FCC
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 4
FCC
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
STA
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ODG
1 - 2
FCC
42%
22%
36%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
PER
2 - 3
VEY
78%
13%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 6
PER
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 1
ROM
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
FAR
29%
22%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
PER
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |