FC Celano Marsica vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
59.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
FON
34%
25%
40%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACI
4 - 1
FCC
46%
26%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASM
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USV
1 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
MIL
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 3
PRG
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 2
PRG
29%
29%
42%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PRG
0 - 0
USV
82%
14%
5%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |