FC Celano Marsica vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Celano Marsica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
0 - 2
GAV
20%
23%
57%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 0
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIG
32%
26%
42%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 0
FAN
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 2
CAM
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
APR
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
APR
1 - 3
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | -2 |