Catanzaro vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TER
0 - 0
FCC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 1
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FCC
2 - 1
TER
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 2
FCC
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FCC
0 - 3
CAS
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
TER
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
FRA
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |