Catanzaro vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAV
0 - 2
FCC
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 0
SIC
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 0
FCC
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FCC
1 - 2
CAT
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
BIS
1 - 0
FCC
17%
26%
56%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
RPO
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
43%
29%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
VIT
32%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
4 - 1
TRA
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SIR
0 - 1
FRA
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |