Catanzaro vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PES
0 - 1
FCC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 0
RIM
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 1
USC
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
VIC
1 - 0
FCC
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 3
USC
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
ABN
1 - 1
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 2
ATL
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2006 |
TER
2 - 2
TRI
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |