Catanzaro vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
11%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 0
PIS
41%
32%
28%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
FCC
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 1
MES
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
ASC
1 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
FCC
5 - 2
UDI
38%
32%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
TRI
0 - 3
USF
62%
24%
14%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
TRI
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
TRI
2 - 1
LIC
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |