Catanzaro vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
57.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SOR
0 - 1
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 3
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 0
FCC
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 4
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FRO
4 - 0
FCC
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AVE
4 - 0
ASA
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 1
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
ASG
2 - 3
AVE
26%
26%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
NOC
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SOR
1 - 4
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |