Catanzaro vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 1
TOR
21%
28%
52%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
TRI
2 - 0
FCC
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 0
PES
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
VER
1 - 0
FCC
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
RIM
4 - 2
FCC
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CAT
2 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
CES
3 - 2
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
MOD
2 - 0
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
AVE
2 - 5
BRE
15%
24%
62%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |