Catanzaro vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
FCC
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
FCC
0 - 1
ARZ
33%
25%
41%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ARZ
3 - 0
FCC
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 2
FCC
40%
31%
29%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 3
SAL
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
CAT
2 - 0
AVE
59%
24%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 3
CAG
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 0
AVE
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
AVE
3 - 2
PES
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |