Catanzaro vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
NOV
2 - 1
FCC
52%
28%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 1
TOR
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
TER
0 - 3
FCC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
FCC
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
AVE
2 - 3
BRI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
AVE
3 - 2
NAP
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
GEN
1 - 0
AVE
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BOL
3 - 1
AVE
87%
9%
5%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
AVE
0 - 0
REG
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |