Catanzaro vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
CAG
2 - 2
FCC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
FCC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FCC
2 - 1
UDI
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRE
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 0
FCC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 2
USA
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
USA
1 - 0
USF
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
USA
0 - 0
BAR
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
UDI
1 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
USA
3 - 0
TRI
49%
26%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |