Catanzaro vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
TOR
23%
28%
50%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
PRG
3 - 1
FCC
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
FCC
2 - 3
EMP
15%
25%
60%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
ARZ
2 - 1
FCC
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
PES
3 - 2
FCC
69%
20%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2005 |
TRE
2 - 2
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
CAT
3 - 0
TRE
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRE
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TRE
3 - 0
VNZ
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VER
2 - 1
TRE
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |