Catanzaro vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 0
CAT
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAV
2 - 2
FCC
23%
28%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
2 - 0
MON
41%
25%
35%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FCC
3 - 1
AVE
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 1
TER
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TER
2 - 1
VIT
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TER
1 - 1
TER
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TER
2 - 0
PAG
72%
17%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
TER
4 - 1
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |