Catanzaro vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
19%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
15%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 0
FCC
56%
28%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
VAR
43%
31%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
55%
29%
16%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
FCC
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 0
SPA
53%
29%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
BAR
0 - 0
TAR
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
TAR
1 - 1
PRG
44%
31%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
TAR
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |