Catanzaro vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 1
LEC
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FCC
45%
29%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CAG
0 - 0
FCC
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FCC
1 - 0
USC
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
EMP
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAV
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
ARZ
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAV
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
LEC
53%
29%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |