Catanzaro vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
FCC
44%
31%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FCC
0 - 0
SSS
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
NOV
0 - 0
FCC
62%
24%
14%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PES
2 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
49%
30%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
PES
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
REG
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
61%
25%
14%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
PAL
2 - 0
SPA
61%
25%
14%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRI
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |