Catanzaro vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
18.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
35%
35%
30%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAR
57%
28%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
TER
0 - 0
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 2
VAR
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
TAR
0 - 0
SPA
43%
32%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRI
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
ASC
3 - 0
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAR
71%
21%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |