Catanzaro vs Sora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
FCC
39%
31%
30%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
USF
1 - 3
FCC
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 2
BEN
57%
25%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VIR
3 - 1
FCC
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 1
VIS
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 0
FER
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
SOR
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SOR
1 - 1
VIR
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
SOR
75%
16%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
SOR
0 - 1
BEN
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -2 |