Catanzaro vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
18º
5º
25
5º
20º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 87 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 74 |
2º
|
62.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 72 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 49 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 48 |
10º
|
5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 47 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 46 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 45 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 44 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 43 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 43 |
16º
|
7.5% | |
|
19º
|
22 | 43 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 40 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 39 |
19º
|
17.5% | |
|
20º
|
21 | 38 |
20º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
93% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 16% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
NUO
1 - 1
FCC
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
FCC
0 - 1
SPE
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 2
FCC
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 1
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 3
FCC
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 0
SAL
61%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
BRE
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
1 - 2
JUS
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MOD
1 - 1
SAL
42%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAL
4 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |