Catanzaro vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 1
GEN
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 3
REG
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
USF
0 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1967 |
MOD
0 - 0
FCC
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1967 |
FCC
1 - 1
PAD
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
RPO
3 - 2
MES
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
1 - 0
RPO
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 0
RPO
69%
17%
15%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
RPO
2 - 2
PRO
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
RPO
0 - 0
USF
41%
23%
37%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |