Catanzaro vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
29.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
TRI
0 - 0
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
PIS
1 - 1
FCC
73%
19%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
FCC
1 - 1
LIC
47%
29%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
62%
25%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
SSB
0 - 0
FCC
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
PAD
63%
24%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
REG
1 - 0
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
PAR
0 - 2
REG
48%
29%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1990 |
REG
2 - 1
LIC
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |