Catanzaro vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
SAL
2 - 0
FCC
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 1
CAT
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
ARZ
0 - 1
FCC
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
FCC
2 - 2
POT
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
FCC
1 - 1
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
REG
3 - 0
PAD
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VER
2 - 1
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
REG
0 - 2
PAL
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
SAL
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |