Catanzaro vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEN
33%
29%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 1
FCC
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
USA
0 - 0
FCC
45%
28%
28%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FCC
5 - 1
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1965 |
FCC
1 - 0
PAD
45%
30%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
RPO
2 - 2
PRO
37%
25%
37%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 1
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRO
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 2
LEC
44%
30%
27%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |