Catanzaro vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
VIC
2 - 1
FCC
60%
26%
14%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
FCC
2 - 0
SPA
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
FCC
0 - 0
GEN
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
28%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TER
1 - 0
FCC
57%
28%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1976 |
PIA
2 - 0
SSS
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
PIA
3 - 1
VAR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 0
PIA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
SPA
2 - 1
PIA
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 3
BRE
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |