Catanzaro vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FCC
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
FCC
2 - 2
TRI
44%
31%
25%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 2
VIC
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
FCC
44%
31%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
32%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
PRG
2 - 0
BOL
51%
31%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
EMP
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
VIC
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |