Catanzaro vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
FCC
1 - 0
LEC
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
FCC
2 - 0
NAP
45%
31%
24%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
UDI
1 - 2
FCC
56%
26%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
FCC
0 - 3
ACM
28%
29%
42%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
PES
1 - 1
FCC
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 0
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
CAG
1 - 2
PRG
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
PRG
2 - 1
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
JUV
3 - 0
PRG
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |