Catanzaro vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
30%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 0
FCC
53%
26%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCC
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1968 |
PRG
3 - 1
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
PRG
1 - 0
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
REG
1 - 1
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
USF
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |