Catanzaro vs Paternò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 1
GIU
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
FCC
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 1
FCC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SOR
2 - 1
FCC
27%
31%
42%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 1
VIT
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paternò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 0
PAT
51%
25%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
MAR
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PAT
0 - 0
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PAT
0 - 1
ACI
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAT
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |